The Nelson A. Rockefeller Institute of Government will be hosting the SUNY Conference on “Facing the Storm: Severe Weather Challenges Confronting New York State in the 21st Century” on Thursday, April 23 at 9:30 am
This conference will be kicked off by SUNY Albany via a live web broadcast at 9:30 am. Stony Brook University will be hosting our “local” part of this conference at the Morrelly Center Auditorium, co-located with the Nassau County OEM in Bethpage. Directions to the Morrelly Homeland Security Center: http://www.lift.org/
This NY State conference is designed to focus on severe weather events of the past year and consider what these teach us about the future and how we should prepare for it, including mitigation efforts.
The local portion of this conference will focus on probabilistic weather and climate forecasting and how this can be used in communicating forecasting risk to the general public. Gary Conte, NWS Meteorologist will deliver a presentation on this subject.
If you have any questions regarding the content and format of this conference, please contact Professor Dr. Brian Colle.
9:30 Event start (Live video from UAlbany)
Opening remarks by Robert Bullock (Rockefeller Inst).
Welcoming remarks by UAlbany President Robert Jones
Video welcome by Congressman Paul Tonko
9:45 Panel 1 start (Live feed from Albany) (Chris Thorncroft, Lance Bosart, and David Vallee)
There will be 3 speakers, timed at 15 minutes each. There will be a 15-20 minute open Q&A for all participants from Albany and the campuses.
10:45-11:30: Gary Conte- NWS New York, NY — presentation at Nassau OEM
Title: Communicating NWS Forecasts and their Uncertainties
Summary: NOAA’s Weather-Ready Nation (WRN) is about building community resilience in the face of increasing vulnerability to extreme weather and water events. Based on feedback from NWS customers and partners, the NWS continues to improve the content, format and delivery of our services to improve resulting outcomes of saving lives, minimizing property damage and enhancing the economy. Many new experimental products, mostly graphics are being produced using probabilities in addition to the highly deterministic forecasts we continue to produce. The goal is to reduce risk and increase community resilience for future extreme events.
Presenter: Gary Conte, the WFO New York, NY Warning Coordination Meteorologist will deliver a presentation covering new experimental services along with product changes from snow probabilities to severe weather outlooks to storm surge flood potential inundation maps, watches, and warnings. All changes were based on quantifying forecast uncertainty with user feedback. Graphical Storm Total Snowfall forecasts was introduced for the 2014-15 winter season, New Storm Prediction Center Severe Weather Outlooks were introduced this convective season, and Experimental Storm Surge Watches and Warnings will be introduced for this hurricane season.
For those viewing the Forum at Stony Brook University, the location will be 113 Endeavour Hall within the School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences.